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Tuesday, November 13, 2007

M&A in a volatile market

The market was very volatile yesterday. It started slightly in the red, then green a bit, and then red again. By mid-day, Dow Jones was up more than 100 points. But, DJIA finally gave up the gains (ended 55 points compared to Friday close) and break through its 13,000 support level!

Anyway, the trades were all about IBM acquiring COGN for $5 billion. Typically (but not always) the acquired company will gain in stock value and the acquiring company will lose a bit. But apparently, acquiring COGN will bring in great values and investors see this and shoot up IBM stock price.

Another good example of a 'win-win' M&A (merger & acquisition) is the recent BHP Billiton (BHP) and Rio Tinto (RTP) one!

COGNOS (COGN)
Straight ITM Nov-07 52.5 Call
Entry 2,25 Exit 2.50 (11% profit)
Day trade based on TCT

INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINE (IBM)
Straight ITM Nov-07 100 Call
Entry 4.00 Exit 4.50 (12.5% profit)
Day trade based on my 'revised' TCT

Anyway, I lost US$700 (for 2 contracts) on my personal account for GOOGLE (GOOG), since it dropped more than 100 points over the past few days. Fortunately, I don't trade stocks (otherwise, 2 lots x 100 points loss = $20,000!!!).

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